Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.On December 11th, the reporter was informed that Vanke Property innovatively launched the "flexible pricing" model at the press conference of Wanwuyun Ruijian held in Shenzhen, and released "smart selection" products, returned the service options and pricing rights to the owners, and innovatively launched "flexible pricing" in the industry. Specifically, Vanke Property's "Smart Choice" products take "the whole cycle of project property services" as the main axis, forming a set of all kinds of services, in which 158 required services and 350 optional services are classified and screened out. At present, Vanke Property is pushing the industry to change from standardized pricing to flexible pricing. Kerry Property Management believes that this initiative has led the transformation and upgrading of property services in the stock era, and is expected to become the standard practice of the property management industry in the future, and promote the development of the whole industry in a more standardized and efficient direction. (Dahe Finance Cube)ST Mo Long and other materials companies have set up sales business of renewable resources. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shandong Cangyuan Materials Co., Ltd. was established, with Liu Shuai as the legal representative and a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of machinery and equipment; Sales of coal and products; Sales of renewable resources; Import and export agents, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by ST Mo Long and others.
Dividend assets are expected to become the main investment line next year, and the investment in dividend plate is heating up! Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) rallied. On December 13th, by midday, the standard & poor's dividend ETF(562060) had dropped by 1.58%, with a turnover of 18,545,900 yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Sanqi Mutual Entertainment leads the rise; In terms of decline, Yongxing Materials led the decline. In the news, on December 12th, official website of China Securities Regulatory Commission published the latest personal pension investment list, and 85 index funds were included, including 7 bonus index funds. In addition, the recent performance of high dividend assets is strong, and the market's investment enthusiasm for the dividend sector continues to heat up. The industry believes that dividend assets are expected to become the main line of investment next year with the downward trend of interest rates and the improvement of dividend yield. In addition, considering that there are still many uncertainties in the current global environment, the defensive nature of dividend assets may still be a safe haven for capital seeking. Faced with the long-term trend that domestic risk-free interest rates will continue to decline, the scarcity and stability of dividend income are expected to help dividend assets continue to serve as an important direction for long-term funds to seek cost performance.Hikvision signed a cooperation agreement with many parties to jointly promote the digitalization of fishery scenes. On December 11th, Five units signed the agreement: Donghai Fisheries Research Institute of Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences (referred to as Donghai Institute), China Institute of Fishery Machinery and Instruments (referred to as Fishing Machinery Institute), China Institute of Fishery Engineering (referred to as Fishery Engineering Institute), Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as Hikvision) and Boyan Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as Boyan Technology). We will jointly promote the deep integration of scientific research and enterprises, build a joint research platform for scientific and technological innovation driven by "Industry-University-Research", achieve win-win cooperation, and help the layout and rapid development of fishery digital intelligence industry. According to the cooperation agreement, all parties will focus on intelligent breeding, aquaculture, fishing, processing and fishery resources and environmental protection, carry out joint research and industrial application of intelligent equipment, system engineering and data management, and actively carry out talent exchange and technical training by jointly establishing key laboratories, innovation centers, research institutes and other platforms, and jointly declare national, provincial and ministerial projects to enhance the collaborative innovation and application demonstration capacity of digital intelligence fisheries.South Korea's KOSPI index erased all the declines since the martial law storm.
CICC: Gradually filling the gap between inflation and demand will be the direction of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The research department of CICC believes that for the economic goal of next year, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and put forward "focusing on goal guidance and striving to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". This is the first time in the past 15 years that "stabilizing prices" has been taken as the goal of annual economic work during the period of low prices. The research department of CICC believes that gradually bridging the inflation gap and demand gap will be the direction of economic work next year.New Beiyang (Thailand) Company opened. According to the news of New Beiyang, on December 12th, the launching ceremony of New Beiyang (Thailand) Company was held in chonburi province, Thailand. This was the first factory established by New Beiyang overseas, which marked another major breakthrough in the company's internationalization strategy and laid a solid foundation for the company's future internationalization development. The park leased by New Beiyang (Thailand) Company covers an area of more than 5,500 square meters in the first phase. At present, the special printing and scanning product line built in the factory has been successfully put into production and is ready to start mass delivery. In the future, the company will continue to expand the production and delivery of some smart equipment products in Thai factories.The USD/JPY just broke through the 153.00 mark, and the latest price was 153.01, up 0.25% in the day.